Ruston, Louisianna 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

380
FXUS64 KSHV 031653
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1053 AM CST Tue Dec 3 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1034 AM CST Tue Dec 3 2024

Clear skies abound over the ArkLaTex this late morning, while
temperatures warm right on schedule into the middle 40s, aiming
for highs in the upper 40s northeast to upper 50s and lower 60s
southwest. Skies look to become cloudier from the south and west
late in the day today. Winds will become and remain easterly
through the afternoon before becoming more southeasterly late
today. Otherwise ingested the most recent several hours worth of
temperature and dew point observations and interpolated through to
00Z.

SP

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tuesday through Wednesday)
Issued at 146 AM CST Tue Dec 3 2024

Chilly start to the morning with temperatures ranging from the
upper 20s to mid 30s and fairly widespread frost. Upper-air
pattern continues to show large troughing over the eastern CONUS
with some weak ridging building in across northern Mexico into
western Texas. At the surface, a cold front extends from deep east
Texas into central Louisiana with surface high pressure in the
central CONUS. In the wake of the cold front, temperatures will be
around 5 degrees below normal with highs only ranging from upper
40s across our far northern zones to the lower 60s across deep
east Texas and then the 50s elsewhere. Lows tonight will range
from around 30 degrees to the lower 40s.

After some benign weather across the region for the past few days,
a more active pattern kicks off starting tonight as some southern
moisture from a developing coastal low begins to move into
southern Texas. In response to this, showers and a few
thunderstorms will begin moving into our western zones prior to
sunrise Wednesday morning. Showers and some embedded thunderstorms
will become more widespread through the day on Wednesday. At the
same time, another arctic cold front will begin moving southward
through the Midwest. As the cold front moves through our region,
it will usher the showers and thunderstorms out of our region to
the southeast into Wednesday night.

/33/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 146 AM CST Tue Dec 3 2024

We could see a few lingering showers early Thursday morning across
our far southern zones, but overall trends indicate that Thursday
should be dry behind the cold front. Temperatures will range from
around 50 degrees to the upper 50s across the region. Moisture
will begin to increase from the southwest once again by Thursday
night into Friday morning, becoming more widespread by Friday
evening and Friday night. With strong surface high pressure in
place, temperatures on Thursday night will range from the mid 20s
to lower 30s for areas north of I-20 and lower to mid 30s
elsewhere. Friday will feature some of our coolest high
temperatures of the season so far with highs around 15 degrees
below normal. An unsettled weather pattern will remain in place
across the region heading into next weekend, however, there
remains some model discrepancy as to the timing and locations.

/33/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 521 AM CST Tue Dec 3 2024

SKC across our airspace currently with post-frontal conditions
witnessed at all terminals with northeast winds currently near
5-10kts. Some high, thin cirrus will be increasing from the west
as we go through the day but any lower ceilings will likely hold
off until later this evening across our NE TX terminals and later
this evening and/or overnight further east. Any lower ceilings
towards the later half of the TAF period should remain VFR with
ceiling heights ranging from 5-8kft. Increasing showers will
likely begin impacting terminals just beyond this 24hr TAF period.

13

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 146 AM CST Tue Dec 3 2024

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  57  38  55  48 /   0   0  90  90
MLU  52  31  55  47 /   0   0  70 100
DEQ  51  31  50  37 /   0  10  70  30
TXK  53  35  52  42 /   0   0  80  50
ELD  50  30  52  40 /   0   0  80  80
TYR  60  43  55  48 /   0  20  90  50
GGG  57  39  55  47 /   0  20 100  70
LFK  61  43  61  52 /   0  10  90  90

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM....33
AVIATION...13